{ "kind": "posthoc-exploratory-subgroup-uncertainty", "method": "Pointwise approximate95% percentile bootstrap;20000 whole-family draws,30families per category; completed-episode ratio means; paired family draws across starters", "seed": 2026110401, "numpy_version": "2.4.6", "selection": "Owner requested after observing results; not preregistered or selection-adjusted; no new primary estimate or significance tests", "missingness": "Intervals describe completed-outcome means under the observed completion process. They do not cover unknown outcomes. Separate full-schedule legal sample bounds are not confidence intervals.", "primary_unchanged": true, "source_hashes": { "PRIMARY-v1.json": "2c9e3f108e8b974b90e3c6257a6b6b2704732387e00f3064fa11c15fe3f92d46", "SECONDARY-RESULTS-v1.json": "8dd5327ff11d12671792202805168d539e0f813be59989ddd52335fdd58657c2" }, "plan_sha256": "025b59c6b748b87ba044994f109e07957236156cfaf0a0a3ecdbed0335732ccc", "code_sha256": "8f96b5fb32e17122ddfb43f42da15e504caba55da63aad4394c9138b1241afa8", "cells": [ { "id": "tradeoffs-buyer", "category": "tradeoffs", "starter": "buyer", "families": [ "MRF001", "MRF002", "MRF003", "MRF004", "MRF005", "MRF006", "MRF007", "MRF008", "MRF009", "MRF010", "MRF011", "MRF012", "MRF013", "MRF014", "MRF015", "MRF016", "MRF017", "MRF018", "MRF019", "MRF020", "MRF021", "MRF022", "MRF023", "MRF024", "MRF025", "MRF026", "MRF027", "MRF028", "MRF029", "MRF030" ], "assigned": 180, "completed": 180, "unknown": 0, "mean_gap": -1.3333333333333333, "ci95_completed_cluster_bootstrap": [ -3.2222222222222223, 0.5555555555555556 ], "full_schedule_sample_legal_bounds": [ -1.3333333333333333, -1.3333333333333333 ], "comparison_counts": { "buyer_higher": 77, "seller_higher": 90, "equal": 13 }, "equal_walkaways": 0, "equal_agreements": 13, "frequency": [ { "gap": -60, "count": 1 }, { "gap": -55, "count": 1 }, { "gap": -40, "count": 3 }, { "gap": -35, "count": 1 }, { "gap": -30, "count": 7 }, { "gap": -25, "count": 7 }, { "gap": -20, "count": 21 }, { "gap": -15, "count": 15 }, { "gap": -10, "count": 13 }, { "gap": -5, "count": 21 }, { "gap": 0, "count": 13 }, { "gap": 5, "count": 17 }, { "gap": 10, "count": 19 }, { "gap": 15, "count": 10 }, { "gap": 20, "count": 13 }, { "gap": 25, "count": 5 }, { "gap": 30, "count": 3 }, { "gap": 35, "count": 4 }, { "gap": 40, "count": 5 }, { "gap": 55, "count": 1 } ], "outcomes": [ { "episode_id": "MRF001-mirror-buyer-R1", "family_id": "MRF001", "orientation": "mirror", "repetition": 1, "gap": -20, "buyer_gain": 15, "seller_gain": 35, 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